carpoftruth [any, any]

Your bait of falsehood takes this carp of truth; And thus do we of wisdom and of reach, With windlasses and with assays of bias, By indirections find directions out.

  • 27 Posts
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: October 23rd, 2023

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  • This was a good article, lots about how this sausages are made in EU defence spending. It doesn’t seem like much ROI as a boost to the economy though, few jobs created.

    At best, the European defense spending strategy seems to offer a way to maintain stagnation, rather than achieve growth. But outside of economic concerns, it’s functioned as an ingenious political solution. Rather than dealing with the EU’s economic problems head-on, the Union’s governments have been able to launder a massive economic stimulus plan as a solution to a violent external threat. A courageous facade has been erected to cover clinical – and probably irresponsible – fiscal policy. Appealing to morality, ideology, and fear has been widely successful, and European populations have mostly accepted the messaging.

    Because of this, it’s highly unlikely that the EU will tolerate an early conclusion to the war in Ukraine. They stand to lose the justification for their spending, lucrative contracts for their defense sectors, tens of billions on loans that Ukraine will be unable to pay, and the massive investments they’ve made into military-industrial infrastructure. Their dream of a generational extractive project in the form of a debt-ridden, prostrate Ukraine, a place outside the EU but with every trade and economic agreement written solely to benefit it, stands at risk of being destroyed by a steadily advancing Russian army.






  • I listened to a professional seminar about battery materials earlier. The speaker was legit but for dox reasons I won’t name them. Here is a roundup of their points:

    • While there are lots of battery formula and also lots of niche applications, lithium iron/manganese phosphate is the main battery technology to beat for either stationary batteries or EVs. android robots like that Unitree one will probably be higher density formula with lots of nickel.

    • No one outside of China is doing commercially useful work on batteries. Companies/researchers in the west are either too silo’d and aren’t integrated with the big picture, or their value proposition is predicated on LFMP batteries being more expensive than they have proven to be

    • They expressed general concern about the ability of the US power grid to keep up with projections of datacenter build out, discussed renewables+batteries as the only power generation technology that could potentially meet demand. To them, nuclear is a waste of time owing to long permitting times/very high costs.

    • Western EPCM firms get an ‘F-’ grade from him for project delivery, often having price tags 5-7x more than advertised. This applies to Western implementation of Chinese technology too, so just importing Chinese technology/talent is a fix for this issue.

    • Recent total installed cost (not just cells) of a grid scale stationary storage battery by a Chinese firm operating in Saudi Arabia was ~$75/kWh. Even a year ago I saw estimates more like 2-4x that.

    • There are no rare earths/critical minerals in batteries, but lithium supply can be a bottleneck and should be considered a strategic mineral. There are plenty of rare earths used in other car parts, just not the batteries.

    • China EVs are great quality, with 1000+km range batteries that charge in minutes in nice cars widely available. If exposed to Chinese EVs via free trade, vehicle manufacturers in the rest of the world would be ‘decimated’

    Some definite malding from the crowd about China being so obviously good and ahead of the pack compared to anywhere in the West, so that was fun too.












  • her attitude towards partners seems like she’s assuming your partner isn’t very well aligned with you. no kidding that would suck, but that’s a skill issue - pick a better partner. having a partner that is somewhat misaligned with you is good though, they can teach you things, share new perspectives, encourage you to grow, and generally help you be better. I am definitely a better person because of my partner’s presence in my life and I think they would say the same.

    kids are different. they’re a lot of work and cost a lot of time, money, resources, and emotional labour. being a responsible parent means you’re signing up to put a child first for a long time. that necessarily means making sacrifices, buying diapers, having less sleep because you’re up doing feedings, accounting for child’s needs when planning activities, etc etc. all this is an investment in the future of both yourself, your family and your society, but the hardest work is front loaded. Pregnancy/adoption/infancy are all particularly hard. It wasn’t until my child hit about 5 that they were consistently sleeping through the night, not needing diapers, not having inexplicable meltdowns, not constantly on the verge of hurting themselves because of poor balance/recklessness. Yes there were truly wonderful moments during those first years, but by and large it was a sacrifice. Some of that sacrifice can be covered with money and absence of money makes those sacrifices harder.

    all that said, my child is older now and we get to do a lot more fun and satisfying activities. the nature of emotional labour has changed and there are still parenting costs of time/$$, but I love that I get to teach, learn from and share hobbies with my child.